The much bally-hooed winter storm in the deep south is imminent.
Temps. hit the low to mid 70s Monday which will make it tough for any freezing rain in SE Ga. to have much impact on highways. The colder air will seep southward through the day Tue., but it's all liquid for the First Coast during the day. Temps. should become cold enough for some freezing rain & possibly some sleet for inland SE Ga. Tue. night into early Wed. that could mix with a few snow flurries before ending. A bit of sleet could mix with the rain as far south as the Fl./Ga. border, but it won't be much. A cold rain for Jax & NE Fl. Temps. won't get out of the 40s Wed. & will stay chilly into Thu. as yet another distrubance affects the area with clouds & possibly some more light rain.
This winter storm will be much more significant for areas north of the First Coast. If you're traveling west on I-10 west of Tallahassee... north on I-75 near & north of Valdosta... north on I-95 from a little south of Savannah & points north... & I-16 between I-95 & I-75, expect icy & -- in places -- snowy conditions.
So the bottom line for Jacksonville:
-- cooler Tue. with some light rain at times
-- a cold rain Tue. night into early Wed. with amounts averaging a quarter to half inch, possibly a little more in places.
-- Chilly Wed. with thinning clouds
For the rest of the First Coast.... rain across NE Fl.... rain gradually mixing with some sleet &/or freezing rain over SE Ga. with a bit of brief sleet possible as far south as the Fl./Ga. border late Tue. night but no accumulation. Any ice or sleet accumulation looks to be relatively minor & primarily on elevated surfaces & trees.
Imagery below from the Jax N.W.S.:
Dark blue shading below is winter storm WATCH... pink is winter storm WARNING:
Super Bowl Sunday is fast approaching. And after all the doom & gloom weather forecasts for the outdoor game in a northern climate, the weather really doesn't look all that bad. A little light snow or rain early in the day should be long gone by kickoff with seasonably chilly temps. in the 30s that will slip into the upper 20s to around 30 during the game. Winds don't look especially strong -- from the north at 10-15 mph. I posted about the forecast game a week ago, emphasizing the uncertainty in long range forecasting. The first map below is the surface forecast map from the American forecast model GFS from Mon., 01/20 for Sun. afternoon showing a significant storm but mild with rain....the 2nd one is from Mon. afternoon for the same day - Sunday afternoon & shows a weak system moving away. In the end, it looks like classic football weather for early Feb. in NYC. Here's to a good game..........