Some places will see their first 90 degree day of the year Fri. & Sat. Some inland spots have already hit 90 but not officially at JIA (2 days in April hit 89). A sea breeze will keep temps. in the low to mid 80s at the beaches.
Atmospheric moisture will slowly increase so that an isolated inland afternoon shower or storm could pop Fri. afternoon -- mainly west of I-95.
Moisture will increase even more Sat. resulting in a higher coverage of afternoon storms again focused on & near the sea breeze. Upper level southwest winds will have a tendency to push convection toward the coast/beaches late Sat./Sat. evening. Probably still looking at less than half the area getting rain but where storm occur, there will be brief heavy rain & gusty winds.
Storms should be most numerous Sunday as a cold front moves into the area. How much rain, when & where will depend on the exact location of the front. The GFS model is a little faster taking the front into NE Fl. in the afternoon. The European model is a little slower bringing the front into NE Fl. in the evening. I expect t'storms to ignite along the sea breeze as well which will not be very far inland. All storms will move east/northeast at 20-25 mph. A few strong to severe storms will be possible especially if the front is a little slower (I expect it to be somewhere near the Fl./Ga. border by late afternoon) allowing for more surface heating before clouds & storms move into the area. On the other hand, if the front is faster, there would be less rain with most of it gone by late afternoon with generally lower intensities.
Bottom line: nice but toasty Fri....very warm & humid Sat. - watch for an afternoon storm....breezy, warm & muggy Sunday & keep an eye to the sky as storms develop & swiftly move east/northeast.
A pretty interesting feature(s) on our First Alert Doppler HD Thu. afternoon - -a double sea breeze. Check out the image below. The first sea breeze is just west of I-95, & it's possible that it combined with a river breeze from the St. Johns River. But the boundary did originate from the Atlantic & moved west from 2-4pm. Since the sea breeze moved inland relatively early in the afternoon, temps. rebounded near the intracoastal & beaches making it favorable for a 2nd sea breeze to develop & move inland (just west of A1A in the image below). Double sea breeze boundaries originating from the Atlantic are less common in mid to late summer when the ocean water is much warmer, so
there is not as big of a temp. difference between the water & land areas. It is not uncommon to see 2 boundaries but most often it's the sea breeze + the (St. Johns) river breeze.
View an annular solar eclipse via spaceweather.com - click **here**...click ** here ** to go directly to the webcast. Details:
Who: People in Australia and New Guinea
What "annual eclipse" Moon moves between sun and earth, but doesn't totally block the sun... a thin ring, annulus, is visible
When May 10th, ~5PM EDT.
Where South Pacific Ocean,along an approximately 100-mile-wide track that traverses Australia, Papua New Guinea,
map of path - click ** here **.
Why: Magic 400! The Sun's distance from Earth is about 400 times the Moon's distance, and the Sun's diameter is about 400 times the Moon's diameter. The Sun and the Moon as seen from Earth appear to be approximately the same size: about 0.5 degree wide.
How: watching with safety glasses, or via the web.
Why is "total" sometimes and other it is only "annular"?
The Moon's orbit around Earth is an ellipse.
Total: An eclipse that occurs when the Moon is at its closest distance to Earth can be a total eclipse because the Moon will appear to be large enough to completely cover the Sun.
Annular: occurs when the Moon is at its farthest distance from Earth can only be an annular eclipse because the Moon will appear to be slightly smaller than the Sun
Speaking of the sun.....
Florida Governor Rick Scott has designated May “Sunscreen Awareness Month” in the state to highlight the importance of skin cancer prevention. The proclamation was secured by members of the Florida Society of Dermatology and Dermatologic Surgery and the Florida Society of Dermatologic Surgeons who thought the message of "The Sunshine State" might be sending the wrong message to Floridians.
“This public education campaign will help citizens and visitors understand the importance of skin cancer prevention and provide them with the knowledge necessary to better protect themselves,” says board-certified Melbourne dermatologist Terry Cronin, MD, FAAD. “Skin cancer is highly treatable when caught early and there are simple steps people can take to prevent skin cancer, such as applying sunscreen, wearing protective clothing, and seeking shade.”
It is currently estimated that one in five Americans will develop skin cancer in their lifetime and one American dies from melanoma, the deadliest form of skin cancer, almost every hour.
The public can visit ** here ** to find free skin cancer screening locations, a downloadable body mole map for tracking changes in the skin, and other skin cancer education resources.
Another nice albeit warm day for golf at "The Players" Fri. before at least scattered storms move in over the weekend. A fun fact regarding the infamous 17th hole from the PGA Tour (photo is from "WorldGolf":
Balls in the water on the par-3 17th hole since 2003:
Year Rd 1 Rd 2 Rd 3 Rd 4 Cumulative
2012 18 11 4 6 39
2011 12 14 8 6 (in regulation) 40
2010 7 8 5 9 29
2009 16 6 4 6 32
2008 20 18 10 16 (in regulation) 64
2007 50 21 10 12 93
2006 19 17 12 9 57
2005 7 8 25 28 68
2004 9 10 4 7 30
2003 6 10 3 10 29
Total 164 123 85 109 481
1 year ago Fri., May 10th since we had to put to rest our "Best Friend". Click ** here ** to read the story. My kids & I have since put an azalea plant on his grave surrounded by rocks with a bench nearby.