First Alert Weather Alert: Flood Warning expires at 8:00 PM on 4/28, issued at 10:03 AM Bryceville, FL | Callahan, FL | Fernandina Beach, FL | Glen Saint Mary, FL

"Media Storm"... Cold Snap... Thanksgiving Day Forecast

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Updated: 11/26/2013 11:15 pm

So we have on our hands a "media storm" -- quite literally.

This is (has been) a significant storm + the system is occurring at a time when there is a lot of travel. But this is not a "paralyzing" storm where cities & airports will be shut down for days. In the end....I suspect this storm won't even go down as a "top 5" for the winter season.

But between the WC & other national outlets, one would be led to believe that not only is there precipitation falling from the sky.... but the sky is -- actually -- falling(!). On CNN, the hard-to-listen to midday anchor teased ahead to the forecast by saying "Chad is putting the forecast in the models". No...dude is looking over the new model data(!). This is a favorite one for news shops these days: make sure the viewers are aware your forecaster is always studying the newest & latest info. -- including models (that's forecast models!).  Of course, I always am.

Even in the snow belts down wind from the Great Lakes, snowfall -- by their standards -- will be relatively meager averaging 6-10", a few spots 12"+. Along the I-95 corridor -- home to several major airport hubs -- it's pretty much all rain & wind. And the best news of all is that this storm is "transient" -- it's moving right along. For the return trip this weekend, the weather looks good -- if not excellent -- across most of the U.S. By then weather at airports & up & down highways will be pretty benign with temps. starting to rebound. The shear volume of travelers will be the biggest problem.

So I'm waiting for someone -- journalist, "scientist" or otherwise -- to blame this early winter blast arriving just before "Turkey Day" on global warming or climate change or politics.... or some kind of calamity or conspiracy. If I've said it once, I've said it a million times: the weather is always changing, always chaotic, always in flux, always trying to become balanced. That's why the weather changes. There's no such thing as "average" weather -- that's a pure statistic!  And never will man ever be able to exactly predict weather let alone completely understand the weather.

On to our holiday...cold in a nutshell. After a blustery, cool Wed., skies will clear Wed. night & temps. will crash to & below freezing west of I-95. Winds should slowly become onshore overnight keeping temps. above freezing -- probably even rising some late at night -- near the intracoastal & beaches.

Thanksgiving Day will be chilly: partly sunny with temps. only slowly rising into the 50s. Breezy winds -- especially near the coast -- will make it feel even cooler.

If you're traveling the next few days….. Click ** here ** for national updates on air travel… ** here ** for highway reports… ** here ** for updates specific to I-95.

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