A nice Thanksgiving Day after a cool start in the lower 40s, afternoon temps. will be close to 70 degrees under sunny skies. Fri. will be warmer before a dry but rather vigorous cold front sweeps across the First Coast Sat. This front will usher the coldest nighttime temps. of the season so far with inland lows near 32 degrees early Sunday resulting in frost. Some frost could occur as far east as close to I-95. Still not looking at any rain until the middle of next week & even that looks to be pretty minor.
While the First Coast Thanksgiving will be fantastic from a weather standpoint, the holiday is notorious for big storms. Click
here for a summary of some historic Thanksgiving storms courtesy "Earth Gauge'. Click
here for "Thanksgiving: Weather & Food".
NOAA has updated their winter outlook. It appears a full blown El Nino is not likely for the winter which makes long range predictability even more difficult (in what is obviously an uncertain forecast at best most years). I mentioned months ago that the warming near the equatorial Pacific could be more reactionary the long term La Nina rather than a true El Nino. Perhaps that's the deal. In any case, the winter ahead will likely be more unpredictable & could see some serious swings in temps. Maps below show the latest NOAA forecast & indicate a potentially cool few months ahead with at least avg. precipitation.
The "Buresh Blog" returns Fri. - HAPPY THANKSGIVING!
