First Alert Weather Alert: Flood Warning expires at 10:04 PM on 4/24, issued at 10:04 PM Blackshear, GA | Bristol, GA | Mershon, GA | Millwood, GA

Nice with slow warming, increasing humidity... Sept. Rainfall... "Purple Stride"

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Updated: 10/02/2013 11:15 pm

Our nice stretch of weather will continue through Fri. & right on into Sat. Even Sun. doesn't look bad though much will be contingent on the development -- or lack thereof -- & movement of the tropical disturbance moving north from the Caribbean.  Dry air over the W. Gulf + increasing shear over the N. Gulf could hamper long term development -- check out "Talking the Tropics With Mike".

Temps. will be warm but still close to seasonal through Fri. You'll notice some high clouds (emanating from the tropical disturbance moving into the Gulf) + a gradual increase in the humidity, but I expect little rain through Fri. Even Sat., I expect little more than isolated showers with the majority of the day dry. By Sun., the tropical disturbance should be approaching the Gulf of Mexico anywhere from (about!) Pascagoula to Panama City -- well west of Jax.

So for the First Coast:

* nice through Sat. with slow warming & humidity creeping up

* little rain through Sat.

* scattered showers & storms increase Sun.-Mon. as a weak cool front interacts with the tropical moisture. The tropical disturbance will merge with the front acclerating to the northeast upon landfall. At this point, rainfall doesn't appear to be all that great averaging a half inch to 1.5".

Sept. is "in the books". The month had generally near avg. temps. but a wide range in rainfall. At JIA, temps. were just 0.2 degrees above avg. & rainfall was a whopping 4.61" below avg. But quite a few spots had more. Most noteable was on the 24th when JIA had just a littel over 1.5" while much of the S'side had 5"+. Inland areas were generally much drier as the month was dominated by onshore east winds that had a tendency to bring rain ashore from the Atlantic. Our Jax N.W.S. provides the following monthly rainfall:

JACKSONVILLE VICINITY...              NORTHEAST FLORIDA...

JACKSONVILLE BEACH..... 7.02          FERNANDINA BEACH..... 6.48 

JACKSONVILLE NAS....... 4.29          GAINESVILLE ......... 3.20

MAYPORT NS............. 3.82          LAKE CITY 2E......... 2.86

WHITE HOUSE............ 2.44          GLEN ST MARY......... 5.12

BIG TALBOT ISLAND...... 3.50          FEDERAL POINT........ 4.44

LITTLE TALBOT ISLAND... 5.90          ST. AUGUSTINE LITEHS. 3.34

CRAIG FIELD............ 4.77          ST. AUGUSTINE ARPT... 7.16

SOUTH PONTE VEDRA...... 4.77          HASTINGS 4NE......... 6.16

GUANA RIVER ST PARK.... 7.04          HIGH SPRINGS......... 6.84

BEAUCLERC.............. 4.39          JASPER............... 1.15

                                      BELL 4NW............. 5.85

                                      ORANGE SPRINGS 2SSW..

5.11                                     PALM COAST NE........

                                      OCALA................ 4.74

                                      STARKE............... 1.50

                                      CRESCENT CITY........ 3.77

                                      LIVE OAK... 2.28                                    

                                      PALM COAST 6NE....... 5.26

                                      WHITE SPRINGS 7N..... 3.05

 

SOUTHEAST GEORGIA...

 

BAXLEY 5NNW............ 1.97          WOODBINE............. 8.28

BRUNSWICK.............. 5.54          ST SIMONS ISLAND.....10.89

HOMERVILLE 5N.......... 1.26          ALMA................. 2.12

PRIDGEN................ 1.08          PATTERSON............ 1.67

WAYCROSS 4NE........... 2.63          MANOR................ 1.74

NAHUNTA 6NE............ 2.29          HAZLEHURST........... 3.08

FARGO 17NE............. 1.92          DOUGLAS.............. 0.65

I was honored to -- for the 2nd year in a row -- be the emcee Sat. for "Purple Stride" -- a walk/run fundraiser for pancreatic cancer. My mother was struck down by the disease 5+ years ago despite one of the most graceful battles (9 mo.) I've ever witnessed. I had the chance Sat. to see survivors & their familes & to offer my support. The number of participants was more than 3 times that of last year with more than twice as much money raised.

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