Our "wet season" seems to have arrived right on cue. Jax Beach had 2.48" Mon...Fleming Island: 1.38" & the S'side of Jax: 1.2". A tropical air mass (high humidity) is in place & more heavy rain & storms will occur Tue.
Then all eyes turn to the Gulf of Mexico where slow tropical development will be a possibility (click - here - for May
22 blog post as to why conditions could be favorable for activity in the tropics the first week of June....click ** here ** to go to "Talking the Tropics With Mike). Weak low pressure is in the far Southern Gulf near & just north of the Yucatan Channel. This weak low pressure system will continue to evolve over the Eastern Gulf reaching the Fl. west coast by Thu. night as the sytem moves north/northeast. There's quite a bit against this disturbance as far as intense development is concerned including dry mid & upper level air to the immediate north & west of the system...more marginal water temps. farther north in the Gulf....+ shear. Depending on the exact strength & especially track of the disturbance, there could be some very heavy rain Thu. into Fri. for the First Coast. Areas south of the track will also have at least some severe threat. So in summary:
TUE: Heavy midday-afternoon showers & storms - some spots will get a quick 1-2"+ of rain
WED: Scattered showers with a few inland afternoon storms - not as wet overall
THU: Showers & storms increase from the south with gusty onshore southeast winds leading to a heightened rip current risk. Rain
could be especially heavy late Thu./Thu. night
FRI: Heavy morning rain diminishing in the afternoon as the tropical disturbance moves off to the northeast.
Photos from Monday's storms:
* Edward Abel - funnel cloud just north of Brunwick about 3:30pm....
* Jay Williams - Nassau Co. flooding
* Jason Miles - Yulee
* Scott Gibbs - Blount Island - towering cumulus/cumulonimbus
* Dallas McCarver - St. Marys - anvil of a cumulonimbus cloud
* Bernie Collins - St. Marys
Skycam from the Clarion Hotel, JIA - well-developed gust front from intense storms moving across Nassau Co.
Now into our first week of the hurricane season....from the Humane Society:
As Hurricane Season Starts, Households in Coastal States Urged to Include Pets in Disaster Plans
(May 31, 2013)—With predictions for an active hurricane season this year, The Humane Society of the United States advises residents in East Coast and Gulf Coast states to keep their pets in mind when planning for natural disasters. People can take some simple – but critical – steps to keep their pets safe and healthy in severe weather and possible evacuations. More than 35 million people, many of them pet owners, live in areas threatened by Atlantic hurricanes.
Jenna Morasca, spokesperson for The HSUS on disaster preparation, host of SIRIUS XM Radio’s EW Morning Live and “Survivor: Amazon” winner, said: “The most important thing to remember when you are preparing for severe weather is, if it’s not safe for you, it’s not safe for your pets. Whether you shelter-in-place or evacuate, you should be prepared to keep your pets with you and make sure you have adequate supplies.”
The HSUS Animal Rescue Team has a fully equipped response team to assist communities impacted by a natural disaster. In 2012, The HSUS responded to natural disasters in Kentucky, Idaho, Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama, and the areas of New York and New Jersey hardest hit by Superstorm Sandy. In response to Sandy, HSUS staff and volunteers rescued 257 animals from the field, sheltered more than 500 displaced pets, and reunited more than 400 of those with their families.
Forecasters predict an active and strong hurricane season from June to November, with the potential for three named storms to make landfall in the U.S. Pet owners can reduce their animals' chances of being at risk during a disaster by following the suggestions below.
Things you can do right now:
• Put a collar with visible identification on your pets, including indoor-only pets.
• Make sure your pets are up to date on vaccinations.
• Keep pictures of your pets on hand for identification purposes. Ideally, you should also be in the photo.
• Create a pet emergency kit (see below) and refresh the items every few months.
• Talk to your neighbors about how they can help your pets if you are not at home when disaster strikes. Make a list of boarding facilities inland and know their vaccinations requirements.
• Create a list of hotels that allow pets. Plan on evacuating about 100 miles inland.
Pet emergency kits should include:
• Minimum of a three-day supply of food in airtight, waterproof containers and drinking water.
• Bowls for food and water.
• Current photos and physical description of your pets, including details on markings.
• Medications, vaccination records and first aid pet supplies. Name and number for your veterinarian.
• Comfort items such as a toy and blanket.
• Small garbage bags.
• For small dogs include: a sturdy carrier large enough to use as a sleeping area and a leash and collar.
• For large dogs include: a collar and leash.
• For cats include: litter and litter box and a sturdy carrier large enough for transport and for your cat to use as a temporary “apartment” for several days.
• For horses include: Coggins tests, veterinary papers, identification photographs and vital information such as medical history and emergency phone numbers.
A Zogby International poll after Hurricane Katrina struck the Gulf Coast found that 61 percent of pet owners will not evacuate if they cannot bring their pets with them. In 2006, Congress addressed this issue by passing the Pets Evacuation and Transportation Standards (PETS) Act, which requires state and local emergency management agencies to make plans that take into account the needs of individuals with pets and service animals in the event of a major disaster or emergency. It is crucial that all pet owners research their community’s existing human and pet evacuation plans and contact local government agencies if plans aren’t publicly available.
And finally, click here for a brochure on farm animals in disaster, including sheltering in-place preparations as well as evacuations.
For more tips on preparedness plans that include your pets, visit ** here **.
Speaking of the tropics...Bob Brookens of "Hurricane Hallow" fame -- click ** here ** -- was featured in an internal Winn Dixie story - click ** here **.
May is in the books & was cooler (-2.6 degrees - 3rd cooles May on record at JIA) & the 5.39" of rain was 2.91" above avg. Here are some other May rainfall reports courtesy our Jax N.W.S.:
JACKSONVILLE VICINITY... NORTHEAST FLORIDA...
JACKSONVILLE BEACH..... 5.33
JACKSONVILLE NAS....... 8.65 GAINESVILLE ......... 4.57
FORT CAROLINE.......... N/A LAKE CITY 2E......... 3.91
BIG TALBOT ISLAND...... 6.12 FEDERAL POINT........10.85
LITTLE TALBOT ISLAND... 3.56 ST. AUGUSTINE LITEHS. 5.95
WHITE HOUSE............ 3.25 ST. AUGUSTINE ARPT...10.94
CRAIG FIELD............ 6.12 HASTINGS 4NE.........12.25
MAYPORT NS............. 4.54 HIGH SPRINGS......... 5.36
SOUTH PONTE VEDRA......10.37 JASPER............... 1.31
GUANA RIVER ST PARK....12.63 BELL 4NW............. 3.01
ORANGE SPRINGS 2SSW.. 5.17
PALM COAST NE........10.20
CRESCENT CITY........ 9.09
GLEN ST MARY......... 6.42
FERNANDINA BEACH..... 7.21
JUNIPER SPRINGS...... 6.27
BAXLEY 5NNW............ 1.83 WOODBINE............. 6.00
BRUNSWICK.............. 2.50 ST SIMONS ISLAND..... 3.40
HOMERVILLE 5N.......... 2.59 ALMA................. 3.02
PRIDGEN................ 3.82 PATTERSON............ 3.21
WAYCROSS 4NE........... 2.73 MANOR................ 3.66
NAHUNTA 6NE............ 4.39 HAZLEHURST........... 3.18
FARGO 17NE............. 2.67 DOUGLAS.............. 3.66
June averages at JIA:
Low / High 67 / 88 72 / 91
SR / SS 6:25am / 8:24pm 6:28am / 8:32pm - gain 5 min. of daylight
The 3 months of March-May combined was the 2nd coolest (to 1983) on record for Jax. Click ** here ** for more info. from the Jax N.W.S. It is worth noting that the spring was significantly drier well inland (see N.W.S. map below) -- Suwannee River Valley where there is a significant wildfire danger though this week's pattern should help a great deal.
Tornado surveys continue from the Fri. storms. Images below are from RadarScope showing the tight circulation (green against red) moving into Oklahoma City with a tornado....the 2nd image is a tornado on the ground in the northern suburbs of St. Louis along with a very strong gust front. Click ** here ** for storm surveys from OKC.... ** here ** for storm surveys from STL... ** here ** for storm surveys from Tulsa.. ** here ** for Little Rock.