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Chiefs at Jaguars Preview

Chiefs @ Jaguars
Chiefs @ Jaguars
Reported by: David Chisholm
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Updated: 9/06/2013 5:12 pm

Jaguars 2012 Record: 2-14

Pythagorean Wins: 3.3
Offense DVOA: 28th
Defense DVOA: 28th
Turnover Differential: -3

Last season the Jaguars were in line for an improvement on offense and a large amount of regression on defense. Both of those things happened and for the defense it was staggering. Gene Smith thought the defense was in good shape after ranking 5th in DVOA in 2011, and boy was he wrong. All the Jaguars needed to do was run some numbers from teams that saw a huge spike one year to the next (they ranked 32nd in 2010) and they would have known to make more changes to the defense than they did. The drop-off was more severe than anticipated, but could have been avoided.

This season has a somewhat brighter outlook thanks to an almost complete roster overhaul. They have 27 new players on the active roster from the end of last season. General Manager David Caldwell has infused plenty of new personnel into the offense, with Luke Joeckel, Ace Sanders, Denard Robinson and Will Ta’ufo’ou positioned to make the biggest impact. Defensively, the change has been more prevalent with major changes at every position.

These changes should result in more growth in the offense from a better season last year and a much improved defense from last year, just not to the levels of the 2011 defensive unit. The biggest help to the offense this year will be health. The Jaguars ended the season with 21 players on IR. The offense took it the hardest with the starting quarterback, running back, starting wide receiver and starting guard all on IR.

Chiefs 2012 Record: 2-14
Pythagorean Wins: 2.6
Offense DVOA: 31st
Defense DVOA: 30th
Turnover Differential: -3

The Jaguars first opponent had a disappointing season last year as well. The Chiefs were one of the worst teams in every phase of the game last year. They are a huge bounce-back team this season and will be a very tough opponent for the opening game of the season.

The big changes for them are a competent head coach (Andy Reid instead of Romeo Crennel) and Alex Smith over anybody the Chiefs trotted out last season. These changes could be enough to take a healthier and talented roster to the playoffs.

This game features two teams with huge Plexiglas potential for the better. The key in this game will be very simple, keeping the quarterback clean. The Jaguars right side of their line last year was a turnstile and Blaine Gabbert paid the price. With Joeckel in the fold and already better health for the guards, Gabbert has a chance to make a bigger impact while he nurses his injured thumb. On defense, the Jaguars will have to apply pressure to Smith and find a way to stop Jamaal Charles as he is the Chiefs best weapon.

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c9bcrewman - 9/7/2013 6:21 PM
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kitten's wish for some win's. lol
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