First Alert Weather Alert: Flood Warning expires at 10:04 PM on 4/24, issued at 10:04 PM Blackshear, GA | Bristol, GA | Mershon, GA | Millwood, GA

Atlantic Goes Quiet

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Updated: 11/11/2013 7:29 am
No areas of concern in the Atlantic Basin with a very autumn-like look to satellite photos (notice the gray colored patches over the Atlantic -- indicative of dry, stable air.

Some convection has fired over the Bay of Campeche but doubtful that there will be much staying power.

There is quite a bit of convection -- though it's weaned -- along the ITCZ east of the Caribbean but no surface development is apparent nor likely.

Surface pressures remain generally low & sea surface temps. are plenty warm over & near the Caribbean.  The time for slow tropical development in the Caribbean is running out but still possible. A series of strong surface high pressures will continue to move across the Northeast U.S. into the NW Atlantic.  This steady dose of higher pressure will potentially induce low pressure far to the south over or near the SW Atlantic &/or Caribbean which could in turn lead to some kind of tropical or subtropical development.  Again....this is completely a pattern recognition forecast & there are few if any forecast models indicating such -- for right now...at least any development of much consequence.  Recent forecast trends show stronger high pressure gradually moving south & east deeper into the U.S.  If this pattern is realized, it could be tough to get much development even in the Caribbean.


Global tropical activity once super typhoon "Haiyan" over the W. Pacific that hammered the Central Philippines Thursday-Friday is now dissipating over land after moved or the extreme east/northeast corner of Vietnam.  Click ** here ** for news updates, video & photos from CNN.


Check out the incredible radar time lapse of the super typhoon as the storm plowed through the Philippines (courtesy Brian McNoldy, RSMAS/Univ. of Miami).

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