A large mass of moisture
is spreading north & east from the Gulf & Western Caribbean & will lead to rain for Fl., much of the First Coast & SE U.S. But there will be no significant surface development with this pattern.
The tail end of a cold front is sweeping into the Central Atlantic & approaching the Virgin Islands & Hispaniola -- sure sign of autumn!
Surface pressures remain generally low & sea surface temps. are plenty warm over & near the Caribbean. The time for slow tropical development in the Caribbean is running out but still possible. A series of strong surface high pressures will continue to move across the Northern U.S. into the NW Atlantic. This steady dose of higher pressure will potentially induce low pressure far to the south over or near the SW Atlantic &/or Caribbean which could in turn lead to some kind of tropical or subtropical development. Again....this is completely a pattern recognition forecast & there are few if any forecast models indicating such -- for right now.
Global tropical activity… finally quieter world-wide.
Tropical disturbance is moving into Vietnam & is producing very heavy rain….