Convection Still in Atlantic

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Updated: 11/20/2011 8:50 am
Thunderstorms continue over the Central Atlantic with little significant organization.  There are some indications of southwesterly shear impinging on the system with evidence of a frontal structure (warm front to the northeast & cold front or trough to the south).  So -- if anything -- we might be looking at a subtropical system eventually.  There should be a slow drift to the north.  Forecast models show an upper level trough moving from the Eastern U.S. into the Atlantic late in the week & closing off, the cutting off (from the main jet stream) which could act to capture this system if it's still lingering.  In any case....there is no threat to the U.S.

In the E. Pacific (far left on the satellite image below)....a tropical depression has formed (latest such development in 20+ years in the E. Pacific [1987]) well off the west coast of Southern Mexico.  The system is expected to strengthen but continue westbound away from any land area.

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