First Alert Weather Alert: Flood Warning expires at 8:00 PM on 4/28, issued at 10:03 AM Bryceville, FL | Callahan, FL | Fernandina Beach, FL | Glen Saint Mary, FL

Front Pushing Toward the Gulf

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Updated: 9/21/2013 10:58 am
Low Pressure East of the Bahamas... Front Headed for the Gulf of Mexico

Low pressure has formed east/southeast of Bermuda but is already moving swiftly north/northeast with the help of a strong upper level trough over the N. Atlantic.  Little chance for significant development, & the low stays out over the open Atlantic.

The satellite image below shows an early autumn cold front accompanied by showers & storms from the NE U.S. to the NW Gulf. This front will move east & southeast through the weekend....stalling over the N. Gulf of Mexico & across N or Central Fl. by early next week.  Tropical moisture will flow north & east ahead of the front enhancing the heavy rain potential.  Low pressure might also form in the Northern Gulf along the front & move east/northeast.  This low might try to acquire some form of tropical (or subtropical) characteristics next week.  At this time, significant development does not appear likely.  This set-up will likely bring some heavy rain to the First Coast.


There is a tropical wave in the Western Caribbean.  This wave should gradually turn more north over the next few days & might try to attach to the frontal boundary next week over the Gulf of Mexico.

Another tropical wave is hundreds of miles east of the Lesser Antilles in the E. Atlantic moving steadily west.  This wave should gradually turn W/NW with some slow development possible.


Few tropical waves of consequence are coming off Africa.  It's possible we're seeing an early end to the Cape Verde season....at least as far as long track tropical cyclones are concerned.

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