"Nadine" Slowly Weakening in E. Atlantic; Disorganized Convection in the Gulf....
"Nadine" is still in the E. Atlantic. The storm is crawling northeast & approaching the Azores. It's questionable as to whether or not "Nadine" will make it all the way to the islands. Some models are showing a complete loop - the European more so with a large cyclonic loop over the N. Atlantic vs. a smaller loop by the GFS & making "Nadine" a subtropical storm. It's possible that "Nadine" could become subtropical then transition back to tropical depending on how much of a loop eventually occurs. Either way...the storm stays far out over the Atlantic & is more of curiosity than threat.
Cluster of showers & t'storms are occurring over the Central & Eastern Gulf of Mexico. There is no organization & little organization expected as the convection is being helped out by a deep upper level trough over the Eastern half of the U.S. If convection can persist -- + given the nearby upper trough -- then surface low pressure development would not be out of the question. Such development is not indicated by the forecast models at this time.
A tropical wave is moving through the Northern Caribbean but no sign of organization.
Still a few tropical waves moving off the coast of Africa from time to time, but the clock is ticking on Cape Verde development.
