System in W. Gulf Might Be "Taking Off; "Gordon" Eastbound; Strong Wave E. Atlantic......
Tropical depression #7's remnants are now over the warm waters of the far Western Gulf of Mexico in an environment highly favorable for organization & strengthening other than close proximity to land. Hurricane hunter aircraft has quickly been scrambled to investigate this system this (Fri.) afternoon. If this system can stay over water, development seems likely. Some forecast models show the disturbance moving very little or only slowly to the north which would be relatively favorable for continued development. It would seem South Texas &/or Northeast Mexico will be the area impacted. However, an unseasonable trough in the Eastern U.S. & a persistence of this pattern through next week bear watching. A weak front will move as far south as the Gulf Coast next week & it's not entirely out of the question that whatever this system becomes -- contingent on it developing at all -- might get tugged north or even a bit northeast in the long run. None of the normally reliable forecast models are showing much of this type of scenario but something to keep in mind.
"Gordon" is moving harmlessly eastward over the open Central Atlantic far to the east of Bermuda. Recurvature has already occurred, & the storm will move east/northeast toward the Azores the next several days in the far E. Atlantic becoming extratropical by at least early next week. No impact on the U.S. OR Bermuda.
Another tropical wave has come off the coast of Africa in the far E. Atlantic southeast of the Cape Verde Islands & is looking rather impressive. Virtually all global models develop this wave turning it into a hurricane over the Central Atlantic but also showing an early recurvature. This seems the most plausible scenario given the system will be into the Central Atlantic next week. Thereafter, upper level ridging builds over the N. Atlantic but could be late enough so as to still allow recurvature.
