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Weak Wave Nearing Bahamas

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Updated: 7/19/2013 9:03 am
An upper level low is over over the Gulf of Mexico helping to trigger numerous -- but disorganized -- clusters of heavy showers & storms from the Eastern Gulf across Fl. into the Bahamas.  This upper level feature will hold stationary or move slowly west/northwest but with no surface development expected.

Lots of convection across S. Fl. in association with the upper low as can be seen below (radar imagery courtesy S. Fl. Water Management District):

The satellite image below shows a very large area of stable air & cool temps. aloft covering much of the Central Atlantic east of the Caribbean - notice the light gray, "dotted" appearance of the cloud cover on the infrared level.  The second image below -- water vapor satellite -- shows this stable area very nicely (black & rust-colored area). Such an atmosphere is generally unfavorable for tropical development.

A weak tropical wave is near Hispaniola & the Bahamas.  This wave came off the coast of Africa late last week & has been slowly moving west.  The water vapor image below continues to show a good deal of dry air over the Caribbean along with significant shear.  If the wave becomes something to reckon with, it would be in the long term over the Western Caribbean or Gulf though virtually no forecast models indicate such development at the moment.  

Meanwhile....tropical waves moving off of Africa are very weak & have -- for now -- decreased in number considerably.

We're now approaching our third month of the hurricane season with the historically peak of the season closing in -- Aug. & Sept.  There's always pronouncements about "being prepared" at the start of the season but then there's a tendency to relax as the season progresses, especially if there are few storms.  Then when storms do form, there's a sudden rush to get prepared.

From Property Casualty Insurers Association of America:
Here are five easy, and important, steps residents can take to protect their loved ones and property in the event of future storms:
1) Storm Proof Your Property
Simple actions such as covering windows with plywood or shutters, moving vehicles into the garage when possible and placing grills and patio furniture indoors can minimize damage in the event of a storm. Also assess how to best fortify your roof and doors against approaching storms.
If you own any watercraft, make sure to store in a secure area, like a garage or covered boat dock. A typical homeowners policy will cover property damage in limited instances for small watercraft, and separate boat policies will provide broader, more extensive property and liability protection for larger, faster boats, yachts and jet skis.
2) Maintain a Storm Kit
All residents should assemble and store a weatherproof emergency preparedness kit including a radio, flashlight, batteries, bottled water, and basic first-aid supplies. Medicine and/or specialty items for family members with medical conditions or allergies should also be included in addition to non-perishable foods and toiletries. For car owners, storing sealed and portable gas containers should also be kept on hand.
3) Form an Evacuation Plan
Taking time with your family to form a strategic plan can help eliminate confusion and provide a way for you to communicate in the event of a natural disaster. Discuss the location of your shelter options, where you will meet if your family is not together and phone services are down after a storm, and who will be responsible for certain tasks if required to quickly evacuate.
4) Review Your Insurance Policy
Property owners should be sure to take some basic precautions to protect themselves and their belongings from an oncoming powerful storm. The first step is to call or visit with your insurance agent or company well in advance of a storm to discuss your policy. Review your property insurance policy, especially the “declarations” page, and check whether your policy pays replacement cost, or actual cash value for a covered loss. Also keep the name, address and claims-reporting telephone number of your insurer and agent in a safe and easily accessible place. (Click here to review PCI's Tips on Insuring Your Home for more details.)
5) Inventory Your Possessions
In the event of damage, residents should regularly maintain an up-to-date inventory of their possessions and property. This includes receipts and descriptions of your household items, and photographs or video footage for further documentation. Keep this information and your insurance policies in a safe place, such as a safety deposit box.

Residents should also be sure to review PCI’s Hurricane Preparedness Infographic -- click here -- which can be easily shared online or printed on paper for residents to have on hand as they prepare for possible storms.

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