Talking the Tropics With Mike: Florence remnants move offshore of New England

Sept. 19, 2018 — The "Buresh Bottom Line": Always be prepared!.....First Alert Hurricane Survival Guide... City of Jacksonville Preparedness Guide... Georgia Hurricane Guide.  

STAY INFORMED: Get the (free) First Alert Weather app

Wide view of the Atlantic Basin shows there are finally no named tropical cyclones - for the first time in several weeks.  There are several tropical waves imbedded within the convection over & near the ITCZ (Inter Tropical Convergence Zone) between the Caribbean & Africa but no indications of true surface low pressure develoment.

Low pressure may develop between the Bahamas & Bermuda this weekwnd & could try to gradually take on some tropical characteristics - something to watch though early indications are that this system would stay over the open water of the Western Atlantic.

Low pressure will develop over the N. Atlantic & could become tropical next week while meandering over the open Atlantic for extended time.

Another area to watch in the long term - late month - may be over the Caribbean &/or Gulf of Mexico.

E. Atlantic:

Mid & upper level wind shear (enemy of tropical cyclones) analysis (CIMMS). The red lines indicate strong shear:

The Atlantic Basin....

Caribbean:

Gulf of Mexico:

0

Water vapor imagery (dark blue indicates dry air) - notice the dry air right up against Florence:

1

Deep oceanic heat content is seasonably high over the Caribbean, Gulf of Mexico & SW Atlantic as one would expect now that we're near the height of the hurricane season....

Sea surface temp. anomalies:

SE U.S. surface map:

Surface analysis centered on the tropical Atlantic:

Surface analysis of the Gulf:

Caribbean:

Cox Media Group