"Talking the Tropics With Mike": Front rolling east across the Atlantic - Nov. 29th

Nov. 29, 2016 — A strong frontal system & upper level trough is moving across the mid Atlantic extending southwest to the Caribbean.  While there's plenty of convection, none of it is organized & no tropical development is expected.

Water vapor imagery:

The wind shear (red lines represent strongest shear) analysis.....

Gulf of Mexico:

East Atlantic:

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There is still a quite a bit of warm water to help "feed" tropical cyclones.  Water temps. of 28 degrees Celsius equate to 82 degrees Fahrenheit & those water temps. are starting to shift south with the change of seasons.  Tropical cyclones generally need at least 80 degree water to thrive.

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Sea surface temps. vs. average.  Sea surface temps. have turned a little cooler than average around Florida north up the Carolina coast while "toasty" water is underneath "Otto".

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Cox Media Group