Talking the Tropics With Mike: Low pressure far to the SE of Bermuda

By: Michael Buresh

Updated:

Nov. 4, 2017 - Photos: Must-see photos of Irma damage in Jacksonville area .... hurricane Irma recap

Disturbance "festers" over Central Atlantic......

The "Buresh Bottom Line": Always be prepared!..... City of Jacksonville Preparedness Guide... Georgia Hurricane Guide.  

An area of nontropical low pressure persists over the Central Atlantic well to the southeast of Bermuda.  Some slow subtropical development will be possible while the system moves slowly north/northeast over the open Atlantic.  There is no threat to the U.S. or Caribbean..

About 1 out of every 3 November's will produce a tropical cyclone over the Atlantic Basin:

Interesting map below tweeted by Erik Pindrock shows virtually all of Fl. has experienced at least tropical storm force winds this year... as well as the entire Gulf Coast... & as far north as N. Carolina on the east coast:

..... in what has been an overall active season:

Deep oceanic heat content is still evident over the Caribbean but is beginning to "bow its head" to late fall.....

Sea surface temp. anomalies:

East Atlantic IR satellite:

Mid & upper level wind shear (enemy of tropical cyclones) analysis (CIMMS). 

SE U.S. surface map:

Surface analysis centered on the tropical Atlantic:

Surface analysis of the Gulf:

Caribbean:

Extensive hurricane Irma recap - click here.

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