"Talking the Tropics With Mike": Philippe over W. Atlantic

By: Michael Buresh

Updated:

Oct. 29, 2017 - Photos: Must-see photos of Irma damage in Jacksonville area .... hurricane Irma recap

Tropical storm Philippe racing northeast.... no impact on Jacksonville/NE Fl/SE Ga...

The "Buresh Bottom Line": Always be prepared!..... City of Jacksonville Preparedness Guide... Georgia Hurricane Guide.  

Tropical depression #18 finally formed late morning Sat. from the long-time disturbance & low pressure area that was over the W. Caribbean.... then strengthening into tropical storm "Philippe" late Sat. afternoon. The storm is peaking while accelerating north/northeast followed by a bend back to the north - possibly even northwest - over the far W. Atlantic due to interaction occurs with a strong upper level trough & surface low.  Philippe will either dissipate or become absorbed by a larger extratropical cyclone over/near New England.

Meanwhile.... the convection over the middle of the Atlantic is nontropical for the moment but some slow subtropical or even tropical development will be possible later this week & beyond.

Tropical cyclone development the last week of Oct. going back to 1851.  So Philippe was pretty classic...

Interesting map below tweeted by Erik Pindrock shows virtually all of Fl. has experienced at least tropical storm force winds this year... as well as the entire Gulf Coast... & as far north as N. Carolina on the east coast:

Deep oceanic heat content is still very evident - especially over the Caribbean.....

Sea surface temp. anomalies:

East Atlantic IR satellite:

Mid & upper level wind shear (enemy of tropical cyclones) analysis (CIMMS). 

SE U.S. surface map:

Surface analysis centered on the tropical Atlantic:

Surface analysis of the Gulf:

Caribbean:

Extensive hurricane Irma recap - click here.

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