Nov. 28, 2016 — Thunderstorms have flared over the Eastern Caribbean in association with a surface trough & upper level low pressure area. We'll have to watch this area for persistence but there's no indication of surface development at the moment.
Water vapor imagery:
The wind shear (red lines represent strongest shear) analysis. "Otto" is couched in area of low shear as the hurricane moves into Central America.....
Gulf of Mexico:
East Atlantic:
0
There is still a quite a bit of warm water to help "feed" tropical cyclones. Water temps. of 28 degrees Celsius equate to 82 degrees Fahrenheit & those water temps. are starting to shift south with the change of seasons. Tropical cyclones generally need at least 80 degree water to thrive.
1
Sea surface temps. vs. average. Sea surface temps. have turned a little cooler than average around Florida north up the Carolina coast while "toasty" water is underneath "Otto".
2
Cox Media Group