Talking the Tropics With Mike: T'storms over the Caribbean

Nov. 14, 2017 — Photos: Must-see photos of Irma damage in Jacksonville area .... hurricane Irma recap

The "Buresh Bottom Line": Always be prepared!..... City of Jacksonville Preparedness Guide... Georgia Hurricane Guide.

A stationary front continues to hang over the Caribbean & is helping to produce disorganized showers & thunderstorms.  We'll need to watch the tail end of the front over for possible slow low pressure development which could then become tropical but no evidence of such just yet.

Otherwise.... low pressure is developing over the far Eastern/NE Atlantic to the southwest of the Azore Islands & could acquire some subtropical characteristics as it moves northeast but no threat to any of the U.S.

Images below from the Storm Prediction Center showing tornadoes (preliminary counts) spawned by U.S. landfalling tropical cyclones.  The great majority were associated with "Harvey" - 57.  The 119 for the year ranks 4th since 1995 only behind 2008, 2005 & 2004.

Interesting map below tweeted by Erik Pindrock shows virtually all of Fl. has experienced at least tropical storm force winds this year... as well as the entire Gulf Coast... & as far north as N. Carolina on the east coast:

Deep oceanic heat content continues to wane as we go deeper into fall.....

Sea surface temp. anomalies:

East Atlantic IR satellite:

Mid & upper level wind shear (enemy of tropical cyclones) analysis (CIMMS).

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SE U.S. surface map:

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Surface analysis centered on the tropical Atlantic:

Surface analysis of the Gulf:

Caribbean:

Extensive hurricane Irma recap - click here.

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