Talking the Tropics With Mike: Weak low pressure over the Central Atlantic

By: Michael Buresh

Updated:

Oct. 31, 2017 - Photos: Must-see photos of Irma damage in Jacksonville area .... hurricane Irma recap

Disturbance over the Central Atlantic...

The "Buresh Bottom Line": Always be prepared!..... City of Jacksonville Preparedness Guide... Georgia Hurricane Guide.  

The convection over the middle of the Atlantic is in association with an upper level trough & nontropical surface low with strong shear & dry air in the vicinity.  Some slow subtropical development will be possible later this week & beyond, but the system will stay far to the east of the U.S. over the open Atlantic.

Interesting map below tweeted by Erik Pindrock shows virtually all of Fl. has experienced at least tropical storm force winds this year... as well as the entire Gulf Coast... & as far north as N. Carolina on the east coast:

Deep oceanic heat content is still evident over the Caribbean but is beginning to "bow its head" to late fall.....

Sea surface temp. anomalies:

East Atlantic IR satellite:

Mid & upper level wind shear (enemy of tropical cyclones) analysis (CIMMS). 

SE U.S. surface map:

Surface analysis centered on the tropical Atlantic:

Surface analysis of the Gulf:

Caribbean:

Extensive hurricane Irma recap - click here.

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