April rainfall & storms... U.S. winter snowfall... Hurricane preparedness... First Alert Weather Center virtual tour

COVID-19 perspective from a teenager.... & modeling (forecasting) a new virus

April rainfall & storms... U.S. winter snowfall... Hurricane preparedness... First Alert Weather Center virtual tour

Jacksonville, Fl — Thankfully April was wet for Jacksonville/NE Fl. & SE Ga. as May is typically the peak of the wildfire season. Central & South Florida along with the Panhandle have been far drier & are experiencing significant wildfires. Local rainfall from our Jax N.W.S.:

FL JASPER 7.30

FL BEAUCLERC 4.44

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FL JACKSONVILLE BEACH 6.45

FL FERNANDINA BEACH M

FL LAKE CITY 2 E 6.87

FL GLEN ST MARY 1 W 7.28

FL CRESCENT CITY 4.59

FL GAINESVILLE RGNL AP 5.84

FL HASTINGS 4NE 3.32

FL OCALA 5.46

FL JACKSONVILLE CRAIG MUNI AP 4.91

FL JACKSONVILLE INTL AP 6.14

FL JACKSONVILLE NAS 5.24

FL MAYPORT NAVAL STATION 3.85

FL BUNNELL EOC 3.10

FL PALM COAST 2.86

FL PALM COAST 6NE 2.22

FL WEST PALM COAST 3.40

FL BULOW 4.26

FL FLAGLER BEACH 3.92

GA PRIDGEN 7.14

GA ALMA BACON CO AP 4.49

GA NAHUNTA 6 NE 5.80

GA BRUNSWICK 6.47

GA BRUNSWICK MALCOLM MCKINNON AP 6.76

GA WOODBINE 7.29

The heavy rain included multiple bouts of severe storms for the local area. The map below shows all the tornado warnings (red) & severe t’storm warnings (yellow) issued during April.

(Action News Jax)

While there will be some snow over the far Northern & NE U.S. through Mother’s Day, most of the U.S. has had as much as snow as they will get for the past fall/winter/spring.

(Action News Jax)

The week of May 4th is/was “Hurricane Preparedness Week”. If evacuations are at all necessary along the U.S. coast during this hurricane season, the process will likely be more convoluted than ever due to COVID-19 & social distancing. Now is the time to prepare - not as a hurricane is approaching. And remember flood insurance policies do * not * take effect for 30 days & * no * flood policies can be written if a named storm is nearby. More info. * here * - First Alert Hurricane Center.

(Action News Jax)

Certified Broadcast First Alert Meteorologist Garrett Bedenbaugh brought to my attention the interesting graph below for billion-dollar Florida disasters since 1980. Big hurricane hits dominate, of course - 1985 (Elena),1992 (Andrew), 2004 (Charley, Frances, Jeanne & Ivan), 2005 (Katrina & especially Wilma), 2016 (Hermine & Matthew), 2017 (Irma) & 2018 (Michael).

(Action News Jax)

Speaking of the First Alert Weather Center.... I had a teacher ask if we could give her students a virtual tour of the studio & weather center. We did just that - click * here *.

So we continue trying to move forward during the COVID-19 pandemic. I asked my daughter - a junior in HS - if she would write a few thoughts for the “Buresh Blog”. She obliged (I must say I’m very proud of her):

On Wednesday, March 11th, I walked out of my high school thrilled to be given a break. At the time, it would have never crossed my mind that it was the last time I would pull out of that parking lot as a junior. At first, it seemed as if we would just have an extended Spring break and it was as if this national pandemic was celebrated among high school students everywhere. However, as time went on, we started to realize that this was much larger than a two week break from academics. Jobs were lost, seniors were stripped of a graduation, and above all, lives were taken. What started as just a hiatus from education, snowballed into months trapped in quarantine. I looked at this as an opportunity to make the most out of devastation. I took the time to deep clean the messy room of a teenager, go on bike rides, and even paint. All of which have not been given the time of day for longer than I would like to admit. As I have looked around to see what others have used this time for, I see that neighbors are socializing (six feet apart, of course), people are sharing toilet paper, and there has overall been a mutual understanding of kindness amongst most. I am sure everyone has seen the numerous commercials that we are “in this together,” but I have a different proposal. My hope is that the world changes for the better due to this time apart and instead of coming together just to return back to normal, we stay united for much longer than a few months in quarantine.

(Mike Buresh/Action News Jax)

Lots of back & forth regarding fact vs. fiction when it comes to COVID-19. Much of the problem is this is truly “new” & uncharted territory. Fact is, the science community has few exact answers. It does appear that warm temps. & lots of sunlight can battle COVID to at least some degree. But a new strain like this may not behave like typical viruses. And then there’s the specter of a “second surge” which seems inevitable - it’s just how significant that 2nd “bump” might or might not be. But all viruses since at least the 15th century have had that second peak. And the models are certainly not going to be perfect. We know that when dealing with weather models! I’ve come across a good web site that explains the modeling, why it can be - & often is - highly variable & the data gathering process by which the models reach a conclusion - click * here *. You’re even able to compare model forecasts from the past 4 weeks.

From a retweet by Dan Hicken from Spencer Tillman - the photo below - photo from Georgia Tech Alum, Andy McNeal, during the 1918 college football season. The sport was hit by the Spanish flu at the end of World War I. The photo was taken by a student, Thomas Carter.

(Thomas Carter/Action News Jax)