• Buresh Blog: Hurricanes: Seasonal forecast, retired names, awareness tour, webinar

    By: Michael Buresh

    Updated:

    April 10, 2018 - 'Tis the season for hurricane forecasts & preps.

    First.... Dr. Phil Klotzbach's annual early April forecast for the season (June 1 - Nov. 30) ahead.  "About average" is the call for now.  Much is predicated on at least a weak El Nino (warming of the equatorial Pacific) continuing through the summer which usually at least cuts down on the number of tropical storms & hurricanes. NOAA will issue their forecast in mid to late May.

    We'll get a chance to see hurricane hunter aircraft up close & personal as well as a myriad of other hurricane info. when the NOAA hurricane awareness tour makes a stop in Brunswick, Ga. May 10th.

    The National Hurricane Center is offering up a free webinar May 9th for 4th through 6th graders.  Great opportunity for science teaches.  More info. ** here **.

    Our list of this year's Atlantic Basin tropical cyclone names:

    Two names were "retired" from last year - Florence & Michael.  Remember that the list of names repeats every 6 years & is decided upon by the WMO (World Meteorological Organization).

    April night skies (from Sky and Telescope):

    Apr. 8 (evening): The waxing crescent Moon, Aldebaran, Mars, and the Pleiades star cluster form a diamond in Taurus.

    Apr. 9 (evening): The Moon has leapfrogged over Aldebaran and now sits some 5° above the Bull’s brightest star.

    Apr. 11 (evening): Mars approaches Aldebaran, and will be less than 7° from the red giant for the next seven nights. The star is twice as bright as the planet.

    Apr. 13 (evening): The waxing gibbous Moon, in Cancer, is 2° from the Beehive Cluster (Messier 44).

    Apr. 14 (evening): The fattening Moon visits Leo and is about 5° from the Lion’s brightest star, Regulus.

    Apr. 22 (evening): The Lyrid meteor shower peaks tonight. Best viewing is during the pre-dawn hours that day, but the waning gibbous Moon, three days past full, will interfere.

    Apr. 22 (morning): The Moon, by the claws of Scorpius, is some 7° from Antares.

    Apr. 23 (night): The thinning Moon, Jupiter, and 51 Ophiuchus form a tight triangle from when they rise shortly before midnight to sunup.

    Apr. 25 (morning): The Moon and Saturn are some 3° apart. For those in Eastern Australia, New Zealand, and western South America, the Moon will occult the ringed planet on the morning of the 26th.

    May 2 (dawn): Look toward the east just before sunup to see Venus rise; paralleling the Morning Star’s path some 5° to the lower right you might glimpse the very thin crescent Moon.

    May 6 (morning): The Eta Aquariid meteor shower is best, especially for viewers at southern latitudes.

    May 6 (dusk): The thin waxing lunar crescent is 2° to 3° upper right of Aldebaran.

     

    Moon Phases

    New Moon: April 5, 4:50 a.m. EDT

    First Quarter: April 12, 3:06 p.m. EDT

    Full Moon: April 19, 7:12 a.m. EDT (Pink Moon, named for phlox flowers)

    Last Quarter: April 28, 6:18 p.m. EDT

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