May 13, 2019 — April & May are peak of the dry &, therefore, wildfire season for Jacksonville/NE Fl./SE Ga. Since Feb. 1, not only typically dry but nearly 2.5" below avg. There are signs of the "wet season" getting underway across S. Florida which is typically followed by a northward trend so hopefully our local wet season will at least start on time if not a bit early.
An interesting "pulse" in the MJO - Madden-Julian Oscillation - has been detected over the Pacific. In its simplest terms, such a pulse corellates with 'upward' motion (green lines) which leads to increased convection. During the tropical season, it can also point to general development of tropical cyclones. Such a pulse is spreading east from the Pacific into the Atlantic Basin - all the blue & even red is strong convection (t'storms). So we would expect to see an active (wet) weather pattern over the Lower 48 through the better part of May & MIGHT point to some early season tropical development over the SW Atlantic, Carribbean &/or Gulf of Mexico. No hype(!) - just something to keep an eye on.
May/early June night skies as we head for the summer solstice (SkyandTelescope.com):
May 15 (dusk): The waxing gibbous Moon, in Virgo, is about 8° above Spica.
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