Talking the Topics With Mike: Low pressure to develop over the W. Atlantic

ONE WEEK left in the hurricane season!

Talking the Topics With Mike: Low pressure to develop over the W. Atlantic

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Historical hurricane Michael - post storm photos & video ** here **...... "Buresh Blog": Forecasting a Monster ** here **.....

2018 Atlantic tropical depression/storm/hurricane tracks so far:

One week left in the Atlantic hurricane season!.....

A strong upper level trough moving into the Eastern U.S. through the weekend will induce low pressure development over the Western Atlantic.  This low will move northeast close to Bermuda by Sun./Mon. with some subtropical development possible.  The system will stay well east of the U.S. but could bring some gusty winds, heavy rain & rough surf to Bermuda.

An areas of "disturbed" weather is over the far E. Atlantic at a pretty low latitude.  Some gradual development is possible, but this disturbance will not be "trans-Atlantic".

Mid & upper level wind shear (enemy of tropical cyclones) analysis (CIMMS). The red lines indicate strong shear:

The Atlantic Basin.....

Water vapor imagery (dark blue indicates dry air):

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Deep oceanic heat content is still high over the N. Central & NW Caribbean....

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Sea surface temp. anomalies:

SE U.S. surface map:

Surface analysis centered on the tropical Atlantic:

Surface analysis of the Gulf:

Caribbean: