• Talking the Tropics: Big low pressure over the NE Atlantic

    By: Michael Buresh

    Updated:

    Nov. 25, 2017 - Photos: Must-see photos of Irma damage in Jacksonville area .... hurricane Irma recap

    The "Buresh Bottom Line": Always be prepared!..... City of Jacksonville Preparedness Guide... Georgia Hurricane Guide.  

    Less than a week left in the 2017 hurricane season!.......

    There are no areas of concern over the Atlantic Basin.

    An old front is triggering scattered, disorganized showers & t'storms from the Central & Western Atlantic to the Caribbean but no low pressure development of consequence is expected.

    A large & strong ocean storm is over the Northeast Atlantic - nontropical but impressive on satellite....

    Images below from the Storm Prediction Center showing tornadoes (preliminary counts) spawned by U.S. landfalling tropical cyclones.  The great majority were associated with "Harvey" - 57.  The 119 for the year ranks 4th since 1995 only behind 2008, 2005 & 2004.

    Interesting map below tweeted by Erik Pindrock shows virtually all of Fl. has experienced at least tropical storm force winds this year... as well as the entire Gulf Coast... & as far north as N. Carolina on the east coast:

    Interesting tweet & graph from Dr. Phil Klotzbach, CSU - "no statistically significantly trend":

    Deep oceanic heat content continues to wane as we go deeper into fall.....

    Sea surface temp. anomalies:

    East Atlantic IR satellite:

    Mid & upper level wind shear (enemy of tropical cyclones) analysis (CIMMS). 

    SE U.S. surface map:

    Surface analysis centered on the tropical Atlantic:

    Surface analysis of the Gulf:

    Caribbean:

    Extensive hurricane Irma recap - click here.

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