• Talking the Tropics With Mike: Big ocean storm over the NW Atlantic

    By: Michael Buresh


    Nov. 29, 2018 - The "Buresh Bottom Line": Always be prepared!.....First Alert Hurricane Survival Guide... City of Jacksonville Preparedness Guide... Georgia Hurricane Guide.  

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    Historical hurricane Michael - post storm photos & video ** here **...... "Buresh Blog": Forecasting a Monster ** here **.....

    2018 Atlantic tropical depression/storm/hurricane tracks so far:

    The approach of the end of the '18 Atlantic hurricane season!.....

    An intense midlatitude nontropical cyclone is winding up over the NW Atlantic.  This low is helping to draw cold air deep into the SE U.S. - no tropical development.

    Scattered disorganized showers & t'storms are occurring over the far Eastern Atlantic at a pretty low latitude - no tropical development expected here.

    In fact.... the globe is void of any tropical cyclones.

    Mid & upper level wind shear (enemy of tropical cyclones) analysis (CIMMS). The red lines indicate strong shear:

    The Atlantic Basin.....

    Water vapor imagery (dark blue indicates dry air):

    Deep oceanic heat content is still high over the N. Central & NW Caribbean....

    Sea surface temp. anomalies:

    SE U.S. surface map:

    Surface analysis centered on the tropical Atlantic:

    Surface analysis of the Gulf:



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