Talking the Tropics With Mike: Cold front plowing east across the Atlantic

Nov. 21, 2018 — The "Buresh Bottom Line": Always be prepared!.....First Alert Hurricane Survival Guide... City of Jacksonville Preparedness Guide... Georgia Hurricane Guide.  

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Historical hurricane Michael - post storm photos & video ** here **...... "Buresh Blog": Forecasting a Monster ** here **.....

2018 Atlantic tropical depression/storm/hurricane tracks so far:

A strong cold front is pushing eastward across the Western & Central Atlantic with clusters of t'storms but no tropical development.  Convection is occurring over the Western Gulf of Mexico in association with an upper level disturbance interacting with a leftover stationary front - no tropical development expected.....

Mid & upper level wind shear (enemy of tropical cyclones) analysis (CIMMS). The red lines indicate strong shear:

The Atlantic Basin.....

Water vapor imagery (dark blue indicates dry air):

0

Deep oceanic heat content is still high over the N. Central & NW Caribbean....

1

Sea surface temp. anomalies:

SE U.S. surface map:

Surface analysis centered on the tropical Atlantic:

Surface analysis of the Gulf:

Caribbean:

Cox Media Group