Talking the Tropics With Mike: Cold front stretches from the N. Atlantic to the Caribbean

Late autumn weather pattern takes hold

Talking the Tropics With Mike: Cold front stretches from the N. Atlantic to the Caribbean

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Historical hurricane Michael - post storm photos & video ** here **...... "Buresh Blog": Forecasting a Monster ** here **.....

2018 Atlantic tropical depression/storm/hurricane tracks so far:

A cold front stretches from the N. Atlantic to the Bahamas across Cuba & into the Caribbean.  Dry, stable air has spread far to the south & east behind this front.

A large cold nontropical upper low is over the E/NE Atlantic - no tropical development with this feature.

Mid & upper level wind shear (enemy of tropical cyclones) analysis (CIMMS). The red lines indicate strong shear:

The Atlantic Basin.....

Water vapor imagery (dark blue indicates dry air):

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Deep oceanic heat content is still high over the N. Central & NW Caribbean....

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Sea surface temp. anomalies:

SE U.S. surface map:

Surface analysis centered on the tropical Atlantic:

Surface analysis of the Gulf:

Caribbean: