Talking the Tropics With Mike: Cyclone (hurricane) over the South Indian Ocean east of Africa

Atlantic Basin remains quiet

Talking the Tropics With Mike: Cyclone (hurricane) over the South Indian Ocean east of Africa

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Historical hurricane Michael - post storm photos & video ** here **...... "Buresh Blog": Forecasting a Monster ** here **.....

2018 Atlantic tropical depression/storm/hurricane tracks so far:

Overall - the Atlantic Basin is quiet......

E. Atlantic:

Mid & upper level wind shear (enemy of tropical cyclones) analysis (CIMMS). The red lines indicate strong shear:

The Atlantic Basin.....

Water vapor imagery (dark blue indicates dry air):

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Deep oceanic heat content is still high over the N. Central & NW Caribbean....

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Sea surface temp. anomalies:

SE U.S. surface map:

Surface analysis centered on the tropical Atlantic:

Surface analysis of the Gulf:

Caribbean:

Internationally.... most of the globe tropical cyclone-free .... with one exception - cyclone (hurricane) "Alcide" east of Madagascar over the South Indian Ocean.  While quite powerful, Alcide will not move a lot & should stay a little east of Madagascar through the weekend before weakening next week.