• Talking the Tropics With Mike: Cyclone (hurricane) over the South Indian Ocean east of Africa

    By: Michael Buresh

    Updated:

    Nov. 8, 2018 - The "Buresh Bottom Line": Always be prepared!.....First Alert Hurricane Survival Guide... City of Jacksonville Preparedness Guide... Georgia Hurricane Guide.  

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    Historical hurricane Michael - post storm photos & video ** here **...... "Buresh Blog": Forecasting a Monster ** here **.....

    2018 Atlantic tropical depression/storm/hurricane tracks so far:

    Overall - the Atlantic Basin is quiet......

    E. Atlantic:

    Mid & upper level wind shear (enemy of tropical cyclones) analysis (CIMMS). The red lines indicate strong shear:

    The Atlantic Basin.....

    Water vapor imagery (dark blue indicates dry air):

    Deep oceanic heat content is still high over the N. Central & NW Caribbean....

    Sea surface temp. anomalies:

    SE U.S. surface map:

    Surface analysis centered on the tropical Atlantic:

    Surface analysis of the Gulf:

    Caribbean:

     

    Internationally.... most of the globe tropical cyclone-free .... with one exception - cyclone (hurricane) "Alcide" east of Madagascar over the South Indian Ocean.  While quite powerful, Alcide will not move a lot & should stay a little east of Madagascar through the weekend before weakening next week.

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