Sept. 19, 2018 — The "Buresh Bottom Line": Always be prepared!.....First Alert Hurricane Survival Guide... City of Jacksonville Preparedness Guide... Georgia Hurricane Guide.
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Wide view of the Atlantic Basin shows there are finally no named tropical cyclones - for the first time in several weeks. There are several tropical waves imbedded within the convection over & near the ITCZ (Inter Tropical Convergence Zone) between the Caribbean & Africa but no indications of true surface low pressure develoment.
Low pressure may develop between the Bahamas & Bermuda this weekwnd & could try to gradually take on some tropical characteristics - something to watch though early indications are that this system would stay over the open water of the Western Atlantic.
Low pressure will develop over the N. Atlantic & could become tropical next week while meandering over the open Atlantic for extended time.
Another area to watch in the long term - late month - may be over the Caribbean &/or Gulf of Mexico.
E. Atlantic:
Mid & upper level wind shear (enemy of tropical cyclones) analysis (CIMMS). The red lines indicate strong shear:
The Atlantic Basin....
Caribbean:
Gulf of Mexico:
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Water vapor imagery (dark blue indicates dry air) - notice the dry air right up against Florence:
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Deep oceanic heat content is seasonably high over the Caribbean, Gulf of Mexico & SW Atlantic as one would expect now that we're near the height of the hurricane season....
Sea surface temp. anomalies:
SE U.S. surface map:
Surface analysis centered on the tropical Atlantic:
Surface analysis of the Gulf:
Caribbean:
Cox Media Group