• Talking the Tropics With Mike: Front stretched out for thousands of miles from Atlantic to Gulf

    By: Michael Buresh


    Nov. 22, 2018 - The "Buresh Bottom Line": Always be prepared!.....First Alert Hurricane Survival Guide... City of Jacksonville Preparedness Guide... Georgia Hurricane Guide.  

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    Historical hurricane Michael - post storm photos & video ** here **...... "Buresh Blog": Forecasting a Monster ** here **.....

    2018 Atlantic tropical depression/storm/hurricane tracks so far:

    A stalling front is stretched out from the N. Atlantic to the Bahamas to the Gulf of Mexico surrounded by numerous areas of heavy showers & t'storms but no consequential tropical development is expected along this front.

    An areas of "disturbed" weather is over the far E. Atlantic at a pretty low latitude.  Some gradual development is possible, but this disturbance will not be "trans-Atlantic".

    Mid & upper level wind shear (enemy of tropical cyclones) analysis (CIMMS). The red lines indicate strong shear:

    The Atlantic Basin.....

    Water vapor imagery (dark blue indicates dry air):

    Deep oceanic heat content is still high over the N. Central & NW Caribbean....

    Sea surface temp. anomalies:

    SE U.S. surface map:

    Surface analysis centered on the tropical Atlantic:

    Surface analysis of the Gulf:



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