Talking the Tropics With Mike: Front stretched out for thousands of miles from Atlantic to Gulf

Disturbed weather far E. Atlantic

Talking the Tropics With Mike: Front stretched out for thousands of miles from Atlantic to Gulf

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Historical hurricane Michael - post storm photos & video ** here **...... "Buresh Blog": Forecasting a Monster ** here **.....

2018 Atlantic tropical depression/storm/hurricane tracks so far:

A stalling front is stretched out from the N. Atlantic to the Bahamas to the Gulf of Mexico surrounded by numerous areas of heavy showers & t'storms but no consequential tropical development is expected along this front.

An areas of "disturbed" weather is over the far E. Atlantic at a pretty low latitude.  Some gradual development is possible, but this disturbance will not be "trans-Atlantic".

Mid & upper level wind shear (enemy of tropical cyclones) analysis (CIMMS). The red lines indicate strong shear:

The Atlantic Basin.....

Water vapor imagery (dark blue indicates dry air):

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Deep oceanic heat content is still high over the N. Central & NW Caribbean....

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Sea surface temp. anomalies:

SE U.S. surface map:

Surface analysis centered on the tropical Atlantic:

Surface analysis of the Gulf:

Caribbean: