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2018 Atlantic tropical depression/storm/hurricane tracks so far:
The final days of the '18 Atlantic hurricane season!.....
Heavy convection has developed over the North & Central Atlantic in association with a nontropical low pressure system associated with a strong upper level trough that is ejecting to the northeast (which has provided Jacksonville the first freeze of the season). This low is not expected to become tropical.
Mid & upper level wind shear (enemy of tropical cyclones) analysis (CIMMS). The red lines indicate strong shear:
The Atlantic Basin.....
Water vapor imagery (dark blue indicates dry air):
Deep oceanic heat content is still high over the N. Central & NW Caribbean....
Sea surface temp. anomalies:
SE U.S. surface map:
Surface analysis centered on the tropical Atlantic:
Surface analysis of the Gulf:
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