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2018 Atlantic tropical depression/storm/hurricane tracks so far:
Less than a week left in the Atlantic hurricane season!.....
A strong upper level trough moving into the Eastern U.S. is helping to induce low pressure development over the Western Atlantic. This low will move east/northeast south of Bermuda by Sun./Mon. with some subtropical development possible. The system will stay well east of the U.S. but will bring gusty winds & rough surf to Bermuda.
Mid & upper level wind shear (enemy of tropical cyclones) analysis (CIMMS). The red lines indicate strong shear:
The Atlantic Basin.....
Water vapor imagery (dark blue indicates dry air):
Deep oceanic heat content is still high over the N. Central & NW Caribbean....
Sea surface temp. anomalies:
SE U.S. surface map:
Surface analysis centered on the tropical Atlantic:
Surface analysis of the Gulf:
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