Talking the Tropics With Mike: No late season development over the Atlantic Basin

Talking the Tropics With Mike: No late season development over the Atlantic Basin

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** No areas of concern across the Atlantic that would affect the U.S. or any other land areas  **

A big ocean storm - nontropical low pressure - is over the Northwest Atlantic while a sheared tropical wave is over the East Atlantic.  Neither will develop into anything tropical.

Quiet Caribbean & SE Gulf this season:

Atlantic dust:

2019 names..... "Tanya" is next on the Atlantic list (names are picked at random... repeat every 6 years... historic storms are retired (Florence & Michael last year) & Dorian is almost certain to be next:

East Atlantic:

Mid & upper level wind shear (enemy of tropical cyclones) analysis (CIMMS). The red lines indicate strong shear of which there is plenty across the Atlantic at the moment:

The Atlantic Basin:

Water vapor imagery (dark blue indicates dry air):

Deep oceanic heat content is extreme over the NW Caribbean:

Sea surface temp. anomalies:

SE U.S. surface map:

Surface analysis centered on the tropical Atlantic:

Surface analysis of the Gulf:

Caribbean:

Global tropical activity:

Typhoon Kammuri will affect the Philippines early next week: