Weather

Talking the Tropics With Mike: Oscar becomes a big ocean storm over the North Atlantic

Nov. 1, 2018 — The "Buresh Bottom Line": Always be prepared!.....First Alert Hurricane Survival Guide... City of Jacksonville Preparedness Guide... Georgia Hurricane Guide.  

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Historical hurricane Michael - post storm photos & video ** here **...... "Buresh Blog": Forecasting a Monster ** here **.....

"Oscar" has transitioned to a powerful extra-tropical ocean storm - low pressure area - over the N. Atlantic while accelerating northeast over open water.

The rest of the Atlantic Basin is - & will remain - quiet as we enter the LAST month of the hurricane season!  The map below shows the typical tracks of late season - Nov. - tropical systems - usually highly influenced by a stronger & more meridional (north/south) jet stream:

Atlantic Basin:

E. Atlantic:

Mid & upper level wind shear (enemy of tropical cyclones) analysis (CIMMS). The red lines indicate strong shear:

The Atlantic Basin.....

Water vapor imagery (dark blue indicates dry air):

0

Deep oceanic heat content is still high over the Caribbean & nearby areas....

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Sea surface temp. anomalies:

SE U.S. surface map:

Surface analysis centered on the tropical Atlantic:

Surface analysis of the Gulf:

Caribbean:

In the West Pacific.... Typhoon Yutu - once a super typhoon while delivering a big hit on the U.S. territories - Northern Marianas Islands well north & northeast of Guam last week - crossed the Northern Philippines Mon./Tue. & is now over the South China Sea as a tropical storm.  The tropical cyclone has not been able to re-organize an inner core after moving over the Philippines & will now continue to weaken likely dissipating before reaching the coast of China.