• Talking the Tropics With Mike: Rina far out over the Atlantic

    By: Michael Buresh


    Nov. 7, 2017 - Photos: Must-see photos of Irma damage in Jacksonville area .... hurricane Irma recap

    Tropical depression #19 forms over Central Atlantic......

    The "Buresh Bottom Line": Always be prepared!..... City of Jacksonville Preparedness Guide... Georgia Hurricane Guide.  

    Tropical depression #19 has strengthened into tropical storm "Rina" over the Central Atlantic.  Virtually all the convection is to the north & east of the center due to shear out of the west. The storm will merge with a cold front & be absorbed by an upper level trough later this week over the far N. Atlantic.  No land areas are threatened by Rina & only modest strengthening is likely due increasingly cool ocean temps. + continued - & increasing - shear.

    Showers & t'storms have developed over the Southeastern Bahamas extending east to Puerto Rico & the Northern Lesser Antilles.  No surface development is expected as shear is strong.

    Interesting map below tweeted by Erik Pindrock shows virtually all of Fl. has experienced at least tropical storm force winds this year... as well as the entire Gulf Coast... & as far north as N. Carolina on the east coast:

    ..... in what has been an overall active season:

    Deep oceanic heat content is still evident over the Caribbean but is beginning to "bow its head" to late fall.....

    Sea surface temp. anomalies:

    East Atlantic IR satellite:

    Mid & upper level wind shear (enemy of tropical cyclones) analysis (CIMMS). 

    SE U.S. surface map:

    Surface analysis centered on the tropical Atlantic:

    Surface analysis of the Gulf:


    Extensive hurricane Irma recap - click here.

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