Talking the Tropics With Mike: Strong low close to Bermuda.... strengthening while moving E/NE

Strong winds & rough seas/surf for Bermuda

Talking the Tropics With Mike: Strong low close to Bermuda.... strengthening while moving E/NE

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Historical hurricane Michael - post storm photos & video ** here **...... "Buresh Blog": Forecasting a Monster ** here **.....

2018 Atlantic tropical depression/storm/hurricane tracks so far:

Less than a week left in the Atlantic hurricane season!.....

Intense low pressure is developing while moving into the Central Atlantic a little south of Bermuda.  Strong winds & rough seas/surf will affect Bermuda into Monday.  Tropical or subtropical development looks unlikely but the cyclone will produce wind gusts up to hurricane strength over the Central & Eastern Atlantic while the low speeds east/northeast.

Mid & upper level wind shear (enemy of tropical cyclones) analysis (CIMMS). The red lines indicate strong shear:

The Atlantic Basin.....

Water vapor imagery (dark blue indicates dry air):

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Deep oceanic heat content is still high over the N. Central & NW Caribbean....

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Sea surface temp. anomalies:

SE U.S. surface map:

Surface analysis centered on the tropical Atlantic:

Surface analysis of the Gulf:

Caribbean: