Talking the Tropics With Mike: First E. Pacific tropical cyclone of the season

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The "globe" remains virtually void of named storms in what has been a remarkably low ACE (accumulated cyclone energy" worldwide over the last couple of months.  There is now one tropical cyclone that has developed over the Eastern Pacific.

There is not even much in the way of cloud cover across the Gulf, Caribbean & SW Atlantic. A cold front stretches through the Central Atlantic attached to a strong ocean storm (midlatitude low) over the N. Atlantic.

An upper level disturbance & weak surface trough of low pressure is over the Western Gulf but no surface development is likely.

2019 names..... "Andrea" was briefly upgraded in May.  Next on the list: "Barry" (names are picked at random... repeat every 6 years... historic storms are retired (Florence & Michael last year):

Atlantic Basin:

East Atlantic:

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There may be tropical development off the coast of Mexico over the E. Pacific but any system would continue to move W/NW away from land.

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Mid & upper level wind shear (enemy of tropical cyclones) analysis (CIMMS). The red lines indicate strong shear of which there is plenty across the Atlantic at the moment:

The Atlantic Basin.....

Water vapor imagery (dark blue indicates dry air):

Deep oceanic heat content:

Sea surface temp. anomalies show some "cool" water over the Caribbean & the deep tropical development region of the Atlantic..... for now:

SE U.S. surface map:

Surface analysis centered on the tropical Atlantic:

Surface analysis of the Gulf:

Caribbean:

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In the E. Pacific.... what is likely to soon be a tropical storm is well west of Mexico & well south of the Baja of California.  The system will move west away from any significant land areas before encountering hostile conditions later this week.

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Cox Media Group