June 23, 2018 — The "Buresh Bottom Line": Always be prepared!.....First Alert Hurricane Survival Guide... City of Jacksonville Preparedness Guide... Georgia Hurricane Guide.
Watch "Surviving the Storm".....
An early season storm - "Alberto" is in the books so "Beryl" will be the next named storm in the Atlantic Basin.
A surface trough & upper level disturbance is located near & north of Puerto Rico & east of the Bahamas producing rain & storms but - again - tropical development is unlikely.
No areas of concern at the moment across the Atlantic Basin. An upper low is spinning over & near the SW Gulf of Mexico producing some disorganized convection but not tropical development is likely.
Gulf of Mexico:
Water vapor imagery:
Mid & upper level wind shear (enemy of tropical cyclones) analysis (CIMMS). The red lines indicate strong shear......
Deep oceanic heat content is slowly increasing.....
Sea surface temp. anomalies are a little below avg. across much of the middle of the Atlantic with unseasonably cool temps. off the coast of Africa....
SE U.S. surface map:
0
Surface analysis centered on the tropical Atlantic:
1
Surface analysis of the Gulf:
Caribbean:
Meanwhile.... the E. Pacific has gone relatively quiet after a flurry of activity the last several weeks. There are, however, a couple of disturbance well west of Mexico with potential for some long term development.