"Talking the Tropics With Mike": One month since "Matthew" - Nov. 7th

Nov. 7, 2016 — There is some fairly persistent convection over the S. Caribbean -- an area to watch over the long term.

A cold core low is over the Northwest Atlantic - no tropical development expected with this feature.

This week marks one month since hurricane "Matthew" made its closest approach to Florida & Jacksonville (Oct. 7) .... followed by a landfall on the S. Carolina coast.  Click -- HERE -- for a personal summary of the hurricane.

Water vapor imagery:

The wind shear (red lines represent strongest shear) analysis.  Shear is strong near the disturbance over the Caribbean:

Gulf of Mexico:

0

East Atlantic:

1

There is still a lot of warm water remains to help "feed" tropical cyclones.  Water temps. of 28 degrees Celsius equate to 82 degrees Fahrenheit & those water temps. are starting to shift south with the change of seasons.  Tropical cyclones generally need at least 80 degree water to thrive.

Sea surface temps. vs. average.  Sea surface temps. have turned a little cooler than average around Florida north up the Carolina coast.

Cox Media Group