Talking the Tropics With Mike: Atlantic quiet but Xavier develops over East Pacific

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The Atlantic Basin is quiet & looks very "fall-ish".  No tropical development is likely to occur anytime soon.

The map below shows the typical tracks of late season - Nov. - tropical systems - usually highly influenced by a stronger & more meridional (north/south) jet stream.... followed by the genesis points for previous tropical cyclones in Nov. going back to 1851....

Atlantic Basin:

E. Atlantic:

E. Pacific will likely again have at least one new named storm soon.....

Mid & upper level wind shear (enemy of tropical cyclones) analysis (CIMMS). The red lines indicate strong shear:

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The Atlantic Basin.....

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Water vapor imagery (dark blue indicates dry air):

Deep oceanic heat content is still high over the Caribbean & nearby areas....

Sea surface temp. anomalies:

SE U.S. surface map:

Surface analysis centered on the tropical Atlantic:

Surface analysis of the Gulf:

Caribbean:

In the East Pacific..... tropical storm Xavier has developed but will be no threat to land & is an area not particularly favorable for intensification.

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Cox Media Group